W9WI.com - My Rant
November Decision - Part 5
Reason #5: It's the economy, stupid!:
One would think economic statistics are a hard science. One might be
surprised.
The GOP argues the economy is improving; people are getting back to work;
the unemployment rate is down. The statistics show the second two parts are
true. However...
You count as "employed" if you have a job. I guess that makes sense!
However, this definition of "employed" includes those who:
Lost their job & can't find another one at the same pay rate.
Joe Blow used to make $50,000 a year building cars. Then, he lost his job.
After a diligent search, he found another job stocking shelves at Wal-Mart.
Now he makes $25,000 a year. He counts as "employed" - but he sure isn't
anywhere near as well off as he was before Bush came to power!
Can't find a job with health benefits. You count as "employed"
if you have a job that doesn't offer health insurance, or one at which the
required employee contribution for insurance is prohibitively large.
Had to move to find work. If your friends and family are in
Minneapolis but you had to move to San Antonio to find a job, you still
count as "employed". You, and your family, sure won't be all that happy
about it though...
Face worse conditions at work. You're required to work
additional overtime to cover for the co-workers who got laid off. You're
placed under continuous stress to maintain quality as management buys
cheaper raw materials, cuts back on equipment, and reduces staff. In a good
economy, you'd quit - but when things are slow your choices are abuse or
poverty...
Arguably, total income is up. That can be misleading. Imagine an economy
with 201 participants:
One executive, making $1,000,000/year.
100 factory workers, making $40,000/year each.
100 fast-food workers, making $20,000/year each.
These 201 people earn a total income of $7,000,000/year.
Now, let's say the executive decides to make some changes. He lays off 25
of his factory workers, and pays the rest a 3% raise. 20 of the laid-off
workers find fast-food jobs; five remain unemployed. To stay competitive,
the fast-food companies pay a 3% raise too. For his efforts in improving
the company's bottom line, the Board of Directors decides to pay the
executive a
$1,000,000 bonus.
In this new year, the 201 people earn a total income of $7,562,000, an 8.03%
increase over the previous year. Sounds good, right?
Now, let's remove the executive from the calculations. The 200 workers...
went from earning $6,000,000 in the previous year... to $5,562,000 this
year. They lost 7.3%.
Yet according to the statistics, things are better. Hmmm...
More to follow.
© D. Smith W9WI 2009
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